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•Lake effect well north of Syracuse early Wednesday morning and will be on the move today.
•During the morning, the band will shift south and may end up just north of Syracuse for a time.
•Starting early this afternoon, lake effect will quickly shift back north, ending up around Watertown by this evening.
•Lake effect will remain an issue Thursday and Friday while sweeping south over the counties east and then eventually southeast of Lake Ontario.
Lake effect snow reformed last night producing heavy snow over parts of Oswego county with snowfall rates of 1-2” per hour. Wednesday this band will be on the move thanks to a couple of jet stream disturbances impacting us.
The first disturbance moves through central New York close to sunrise. This will shift winds aloft into more of a west-northwest direction. We expect the band to shift south early in the day and settle in over the Oswego-Onondaga County line for a while later this morning. This could put the heavy snow close to the northern suburbs of Syracuse like Baldwinsville and Cicero.
While this is happening, a new disturbance will begin to approach us by midday. This is going to switch our winds aloft for a second time today. The winds will swing around into the southwest moving the band quickly north this afternoon. It is very likely that by early evening the band of lake effect snow will be near Watertown where it will remain tonight. By the time it gets there, however, parts of the Tug Hill will have seen 7-14” of new snow for the day.
Outside the lake effect, the highlight for the majority of central New York Wednesday will be the gusty wind and the cold. It will be another day spent in the 20s with wind chills in the low teens. For those that don’t get into the heavy lake effect today there will just be a few flurries.
Lake effect will remain an issue Thursday into Friday as it looks like winds will shift again. Later New Year’s Day winds should become westerly which will bring the squalls back into Oswego County and the Tug Hill with additional heavy accumulations.
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